Investment story

Cereno Scientific is a pioneering clinical-stage biotech company focusing on developing innovative, effective, and safe treatments for patients affected by diseases with high unmet needs.

Cereno's pipeline comprises:

  • Lead candidate CS1 is an HDAC inhibitor that works through epigenetic modulation, being developed as a treatment for the rare disease PAH. CS1 holds the potential to be an effective, safe and disease-modifying drug, targeting the root cause of the disease by reverse remodeling. Positive topline results from a Phase IIa trial were reported on September 27, 2024.
  • CS014, a novel HDAC inhibitor with epigenetic effects, being developed as a disease-modifying therapy for rare disease IPF. A first-in-human Phase I trial was initiated in Q2 2024.
  • CS585, a novel IP receptor agonist, has not yet been assigned a specific indication for clinical development; preclinical data indicates that it could potentially be used in indications like Pulmonary Hypertension and for thrombosis prevention without increased risk of bleeding. A target indication for CS585 is currently being evaluated; rare diseases with high unmet medical needs are being considered.
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Cereno Scientific's B share (CRNO B) has been traded on Nasdaq First North Growth Market since June 2023, when a move from Spotlight Stock Market was completed where the company had been listed since June 2016.

Share capital development

Overview

Shares of series A warrant ten (10) votes per one (1) share and shares of series B warrant one (1) vote per one (1) share. The shares ratio value amounts to 0,1 SEK. All shares entitle the shareholder to equal rights to share the company’s assets and earnings.

Updated: June 2024

YearEventRatio value (SEK)Difference in sharesChange (SEK) Total number of sharesTotal share capital (SEK)
2024Rights issue0,147 926 6084 792 661281 701 84228 170 184
2023Rights issue0,1096 260 3909 626 039233 775 23423 377 523
2022Share issue0,1032 253 0623 225 306137 514 84413 751 484
2021Share issue0,1033 442 4703 344 247,00105 261 78210 526 178,20
2020Rights issue0.131 600 0003 160 00071 819 3127 181 931.20
2019Conversion0.10533 33353 333.3015 181 3031 518 130.30
2019Conversion0.10666 66666 666.6015 847 9691 584 796.90
2019Conversion0.103 333 333333 333.3019 181 3021 918 130.20
2019Rights issue0.1019 181 3021 918 130.2038 362 6043 836 260.40
2019Overallotment issue0.101 724 137172 413.7040 086 7414 008 674.10
2019Remuneration issue0.10132 57113 257.1040 219 3124 021 931.20
2018Conversion0.10188 67918 867.9011 179 1791 117 917.90
2018Conversion0.10444 44444 444.4011 623 6231 162 362.30
2018Conversion0.10540 54054 05412 164 1631 216 416.30
2018Conversion0.10483 870483 870012 648 0331 264 803.30
2018Conversion0.10419 35441 935.4013 067 3871 306 738.70
2018Conversion0.10384 61438 461.4013 452 0011 345 200.10
2018Conversion0.10269 23026 92313 721 2311 372 123.10
2018Conversion0.10307 69230 769.2014 028 9231 402 892.30
2018Conversion0.10333 33333 333.3014 362 2561 436 225.60
2018Conversion0.10285 71428 571.4014 647 9701 464 797.00
2016Directed issue11 2001 20061 80561 805
2016Stock dividend issue10556 24561 805618 050
2016Share split 100:10.16 118 6956 180 500618 050
2016Subdivision A-/B- shares0.106 180 500
2016Directed issue0.10 1 420 000 1 420 0007 600 500760 050
2016Directed issue0.10450 00045 0008 050 500805 050
2016IPO0.102 940 000294 00010 990 5001 099 050
2012Formation150 00050 00050 00050 000
2012Rights issue110 60510 60560 60560 605

Largest shareholders

Share issues

Our share issues

Access information related to the company’s current and/or previous share issues. Information is in Swedish only.

Warrant TO3

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Rights issue April 2023

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Warrant TO1

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Warrant TO2

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Directed issue Sep 2020

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Rights issue May 2019

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IPO 2016

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Analysts

Rx Securities

Dr Joseph Hedden
Phone: +44 20 7993 8244
E-mail: joseph@rxsecurities.com

 

Dr Samir Devani
E-mail: samir@rxsecurities.com

 

Edison Investment Research

Jyoti Prakash, CFA and Dr Arron Aatkar
Phone: +44 (0)20 3077 5700
E-mail: healthcare@edisongroup.com

 

28 November 2024

Cereno Scientific – executive interview

Cereno Scientific (OMX: CRNO-B) is a clinical-stage biotech focused on developing innovative, effective and safe treatments for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and pulmonary diseases. The company has an exciting pipeline targeting unmet needs in CVD, with two clinical programmes and one preclinical programme. Lead candidate CS1 is a histone deacetylase inhibitor (HDACi) with epigenetic modulation properties, showing promise as a potentially disease-modifying treatment for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), a rare, debilitating and progressive condition with no curative therapies. The Phase IIa data for CS1 in PAH were positive, and management is gearing up for discussions with regulators on a potential Phase IIb or pivotal Phase IIb/III study. The potential of Cereno’s HDACi programme to reverse disease progression in PAH was also highlighted in preclinical data reported for CS014, the company’s other HDACi programme. Second asset CS014 is currently in Phase I and Cereno recently announced that idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis will be the target indication for the candidate as part of a strategic pivot to strengthen the company’s focus on rare diseases. The third, preclinical, asset CS585 is a novel prostacyclin receptor agonist and is currently under evaluation for CVD, backed by encouraging preclinical data. Management hopes to start Phase I studies for CS585 in 2026, likely targeting a rare disease.

In this video, we talk to Sten Sörensen, CEO of Cereno Scientific, about the company’s strategic pivot to focus on rare diseases, how the recent SEK250m fundraise will be used to advance Cereno’s pipeline activities, as well as key milestones and catalysts that investors should watch out for as we move into 2025.

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28 November 2024

Cereno Scientific — A productive period with plenty more to come

Update

Cereno Scientific has released its Q324 results, marking a productive and strategically significant period. Following the positive top-line data from the Phase IIa safety study of CS1 in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), Cereno decided to concentrate its development programmes on rare diseases. Key developments included the selection of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) as the target indication for second asset, CS014, and the positioning of its preclinical asset, CS585, towards rare disease indications. In November 2024, Cereno announced a SEK250m capital raise, extending its cash runway into 2026. This funding secures financial resources to advance several key milestones, including FDA acceptance of the CS1 Phase IIb/III study and completion of the Phase I trial for CS014. We believe these developments de-risk Cereno’s clinical pathway and strengthen its position for potential partnering opportunities. We adjust our estimates for the Q3 results, with the increased debt servicing costs and higher net debt offsetting roll-forward benefits, resulting in our valuation remaining unchanged at SEK4.0bn or SEK14.3/share.

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12 November 2024

Cereno Scientific — New SEK250m financing secures runway into 2026

Flash note

Cereno Scientific has announced a new financing arrangement of at least SEK250m, with net proceeds expected to extend the runway into 2026, past several key clinical milestones. Secured from Fenja Capital and Arena Investors, the new financing includes a cash loan of SEK175m across two tranches and SEK75m in convertible debt. While the first cash tranche of SEK125m will be paid out on signing, the second SEK50m payout is conditional on lead asset CS1 receiving FDA approval for the next clinical phase. Tranche 1 will be partially used to repay the outstanding c SEK91m loan from Fenja Capital, raised in November 2023, and comes with a 3.87% set-up fee. Following the debt repayment and set-up fee, management expects net proceeds from Tranche 1 and the convertible debt of c SEK99m. The financing agreement will extend the cash runway into 2026, past key milestones such as FDA approval of the next CS1 study and completion of the Phase I trial and Phase II regulatory approval for CS014. We will present our updated estimates following the Q324 results.

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25 October 2024

Cereno Scientific — CMD highlights a ‘rare’ portfolio refocus

Update

Cereno Scientific recently held a capital markets day (CMD), providing greater insight on its development pipeline and strategic objectives. The key takeaway was its decision to focus on the rare disease space across its three programmes, a move we believe was strategically driven to maximise potential clinical and commercial success, and to appeal to future partners. While lead asset CS1 is targeting pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), supported by Fluidda and CardioMEMS (pivotal studies expected in 2026), CS014, the second HDAC inhibitor in Cereno’s portfolio, will now be evaluated in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), another rare indication with a three- to five-year average survival and no curative treatments. Management also highlighted the potential for CS585, its preclinical-stage asset in rare indications such as antiphospholipid syndrome (APS), an autoimmune disorder. We update our estimates to reflect the new target indication for CS014 and increase our valuation to SEK14.3/share, from SEK13.9/share previously.

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07 October 2024

Cereno Scientific – executive interview

Cereno Scientific (OMX: CRNO-B) is a clinical-stage biotech focused on developing treatments for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) using novel approaches. The company has an exciting pipeline of differentiated assets targeting unmet needs in CVD, with two clinical programmes and one preclinical programme. Lead candidate CS1 has an interesting mechanism of action (a histone deacetylase inhibitor (HDACi) showing epigenetic modulation properties) and promises disease-modifying properties in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), a rare, debilitating and progressive condition with no curative therapies. The company recently presented positive Phase IIa data for CS1 and is gearing up for discussions with regulators on a potential Phase IIB/III pivotal study. The potential of Cereno’s HDACi programme to reverse disease progression in PAH was also highlighted in the preclinical data reported recently for CS014, the company’s other HDACi programme, which entered the clinic in June 2024 and is in a Phase I trial for thrombosis prevention (the leading cause of morbidity in CVD), but without the increased risk of bleeding associated with currently available antithrombotics. The preclinical asset CS585, a novel prostacyclin (IP) receptor agonist, is currently under evaluation for different CVD indications, backed by encouraging preclinical data.

In this video, we talk to Sten Sörensen, CEO of Cereno Scientific, about the exciting clinical data for CS1 and what the results mean for the company’s near-term development plans. We also discuss Cereno’s other pipeline assets as well as key upcoming catalysts.

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02 October 2024

Cereno Scientific — CS1 shines in Phase IIa PAH trial

Update

Cereno Scientific has reported positive top-line results for the Phase IIa CS1-003 trial, which evaluated the HDAC inhibitor CS1 in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The primary endpoint of safety and tolerability was met and, importantly, CS1 delivered encouraging results on exploratory efficacy measures, creating a strong foundation for the next steps of clinical development, in our view. The recently signed agreement with medical technology company Fluidda to visualise the impact of CS1 on the reverse remodelling of pulmonary vessels is another positive step and could bolster the data package for the candidate. With the recent preclinical data on CS014, Cereno now has two HDAC inhibitors in its portfolio with disease-modifying potential and we expect this to influence discussions with regulators, as well as potential partners. As management is planning a potentially pivotal Phase IIb/III trial, we raise our probability of success for CS1 to 40% (from 25%), resulting in our valuation for Cereno upgrading to SEK13.9/share from SEK9.1/share.

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04 September 2024

Cereno Scientific — CS1 granted OMPD, complementing FDA ODD

Flash note

Cereno Scientific’s lead asset CS1 has been granted the Orphan Medicinal Product Designation (OMPD) from the European Commission as a potential treatment for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The OMPD provides 10 years of market exclusivity, assuming CS1 receives EU regulatory approval, in addition to fee waivers during the development process. Further, this regulatory designation complements the FDA Orphan Drug Designation (ODD) granted in 2020, bolstering the value proposition of the candidate. We expect this news will be viewed positively as investors await the Phase II CS1 trial’s topline results in PAH, expected in September 2024.

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02 September 2024

Cereno Scientific — Pressing clinical assets forward to key inflection

Update

Cereno Scientific has announced its Q224 results, reflecting tangible progress with its clinical candidates. Key developments include closing of patient recruitment for the Phase II CS1 trial (as of 1 July) and the rapid clinical entry for CS014. Initial safety data from the CS014 study are anticipated from mid-2025 and will serve as a key catalyst. In the near term, we expect investor interest to be focused on the top-line readouts (within Q324) from the Phase II trial for lead asset CS1 in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), following the recent news on first patient dosing under the Expanded Access Programme. Based on current burn rates and gross cash at hand of c SEK86m, we estimate that the company is funded through Q125, slightly shorter than our previous estimate of Q225, but well beyond this upcoming inflection point. Our valuation adjusts slightly to SEK2.6bn or SEK9.1/share, from SEK2.5bn or SEK9.0/share previously.

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02 July 2024

Cereno Scientific — CS1 Phase II results inbound; first dose of CS014

Flash note

Cereno Scientific has released updates on its two most advanced clinical programmes. For CS1, which is being investigated as a potential treatment for pulmonary arterial hypertension, recruitment has been closed for the Phase II trial, meaning that data analysis may commence. Top-line results are on track to be shared in Q324, consistent with prior guidance, and potentially representing the company’s most significant upcoming catalyst. For CS014, Cereno has now confirmed that the first participant has been dosed, quick on the heels of the recent clearance from the European Medicines Agency for the trial launch. CS014 has shown promise in preclinical studies as a novel treatment for thrombosis prevention without increased risk of bleeding, a key limitation of current antithrombotic medication. We anticipate initial data in mid-2025.

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21 June 2024

Cereno Scientific — CS014 (second asset) crosses into the clinic

Update

The European Medicines Agency (EMA) has approved Cereno Scientific’s Clinical Trial Application (CTA) for CS014, a novel HDAC inhibitor with epigenetic effects. CS014 targets thrombosis prevention and is expected to do so without increased risk of bleeding, a key limitation of currently approved antithrombotics. Management has communicated that the drug product has been shipped to the trial sites and work on patient recruitment has begun. The Phase I trial will assess the safety and tolerability of the drug in healthy volunteers. This will be the company’s second asset to enter the clinic after its lead asset, CS1. Following this regulatory milestone, we have updated our probability of approval from 5% to 7.5%, resulting in a lift to our valuation for Cereno to SEK2.54bn or SEK9.0/share, from SEK2.46bn or SEK8.8/share, previously.

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Financial reports

2024

21 november 2024

Interim report Q3 2024

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Financial calendar

25 February 2025

Year-end report 2024

17 June 2025

Annual General Meeting 2025

22 May 2025

Interim report Q1 2025

27 August 2025

Interim report Q2 2025

27 November 2025

Interim report Q3 2025

27 February 2026

Year-end report 2025

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